Many discussions on sustainability rarely mention the world’s growing population and whether current or projected future levels are – or can be made – compatible with living within the limits set by the Earth’s regenerative capacity. As far as fossil fuel emissions are concerned, however, the growing population is not incompatible with lower levels of energy use but, as the paper below shows, the rising levels of consumption in rich countries and “emerging” ones like Brazil, India and China certainly are.
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Feb 14 2013 note: This paper has been updated and is now available at https://www.feasta.org/2013/02/14/economic-growth-population-growth-and-climate-change/
Dr David Knight has parallel existences as: an academic scientist (Biophysics, Biochemistry, Ultrastructural Analysis); an activist with interests in climate change and civil and military nuclear power; an inventor of surgical devices based on silk; teacher of medical sciences and ecology; and sculptor. He is currently an Honorary Research Associate in Zoology at Oxford University and has held three visiting professorships and a visiting fellowship at MRC MBL Cambridge. He is interested in economics, theology and Jungian psychotherapy but has no expertise in these. He is has a lovely immediate family: wife, two children and five grandchildren. He is a contributor to Feasta’s book Sharing for Survival.
Although I disagree with your anthropogenic carbon emissions causing us problems, IMO they do not, will not.
I too have looked at population figures and noticed –
Date..Population….CO2 ppm
1800..1 billion.
1927..2 billion.
1960..3…………..318
1974..4…………..332
1987..5…………..352
1999..6…………..372
2011..7…………..391
So for each billion increase in population the CO2 goes up by about 20ppm.
The numbers appear to be lock-step together. Given that the majority are in poorer countries this is strange, you’ve made some very good points.
Population approximation from
UNFPA – United Nations Population Fund estimate 31.10.2011
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_growth
CO2 trends from NOAA
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
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