I thought it might be helpful if I set out where I think things stand for the Feasta climate group at present. As most members will know, we've adopted a twin-track strategy. The original track involved devising an economic tool which could be used to reduce greenhouse emissions rapidly, both nationally and globally, in a way that was certain and fair. We consider that we've already done that by developing Cap and Share. We now have to get that tool into use.
The newer track involves devising an economic tool, or tools, which can be used to reduce the excess amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere by about 10% (from the current 387ppmv to perhaps 350ppmv) quickly, before its full heating effect has developed. The only way we are aware of by which this carbon can be removed in the time available is to get it sequestered in plants and the soil. At the moment, we intend to adopt two approaches to developing appropriate sequestration systems. One entails devising a way to reward governments that increase the amount of carbon held in the biomass growing on uncultivated areas in their territories and penalising those which allow this type of carbon stock to be reduced. The other approach involves setting up a group to determine ways of farming in Ireland which could lead to an increase in the amount of carbon held in the soil. (We thought it best to be specific, but the results will obviously have some relevance in other countries as well.) Once the best methods have been established, the task will be to devise a combination of incentives, penalties and regulations which make carbon-sequestering farming so profitable that no-one would consider any other way.
Another major project is the establishment of the Global Climate Trust. We therefore have four tasks ahead of us –
1.launching Cap and Share,
2.finding ways of rewarding governments which increase their biomass carbon stock on uncultivated land and penalising those which reduce it.
3.identifying the best farming techniques to increase the carbon held in agricultural land and devising ways of making it advantageous to farmers to adopt them.
4.establishing the Global Climate Trust.
Let's look at the four areas in turn.
Task 1: Cap and Share
C&S is now leaving home and trying to make its way in the world. Its parents are obviously interested in its progress and will give it support and help (sometimes quite a lot of help) but, basically, it will succeed or fail according to the way other people react to it. It is setting out with two things: the AEA report into the feasibility of using it to control Irish emissions not covered by the ETS and our “A Fair Way” leaflet which sets out what C&S is and how it might work as the framework for a global climate treaty. Later in the year, we will also be able to support it by circulating a report on how it might work if it was introduced in a BRICSA (Brqazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) country.
Send-off
We need to give C&S a good send-off. This will involve
a) Making sure the AEA report becomes widely known and discussed, particularly in Britain.
b) Doing everything we can to get C&S adopted by the Irish government.
c) Getting the radical ideas in “A Fair Way” well known. People outside climate circles in areas such as oil peak and poverty relief overseas could be our best allies.
Everyone in the group can help with the send-off. If you would like copies of either publication to post out or give away, please let me know.
Continuing care
a) I don't see much of a role for the group in developing the C&S idea itself further. That's primarily for other people now. Where we do have a role is in thinking through the problems involved in implementing it and we are obviously going to want to help plan how this is done in Ireland. We should also explore the All-Island dimension.
b) We are going to have to keep track of the reaction to C&S and intervene when when we can do so usefully. When we spot suggestions for C&S which we think would improve it we should circulate them and decide whether they should be incorporated into the model.
c) It is likely that academic researchers will want to study C&S and we are going to need to liaise with them and provide a link between them.
d) We need a stand at the UNFCCC conference in Poznan this December. This means that Feasta has to be registered with the UNFCCC before the end of this month. That's in hand.
The BRICSA study
The first stage of this study has already started. Jeremy Wakeford of the University of Cape Town is looking at the likely effects of using C&S in South Africa. I suggest that once his report is ready, we publicise it on our website and via Climate-L and approach possible donors with it to seek further funding because we will not be able to use it as the template for similar studies in the other BRICSA countries without more cash.
Task 2: Maintaining stocks of carbon in forest and other biomass
It seems that remote sensing satellite techniques have been developed which make it possible to measure a country's stocks sufficiently accurately to know whether they are rising or falling. Perhaps the next step is to document these and to come up with a proposal which we'd circulate for comment.
Task 3: Increasing soil carbon in (Irish) agricultural land
The task is to identify and assess the available agricultural techniques and then to look at what it would take to make them into the methods which farmers preferred to use. The group would not just be examining the production of existing crops. We also have to look at potential biofuel systems and all the possible benefits of using biochar on tillage and pasture land.
We need to set up a new group to carry out this work. There was a very good response from the non-Feasta people who attended our soil carbon discussions in April when we asked “Do you want to be keep in touch with thinking along these lines?” and those who said yes would provide the nucleus of a group. However, I feel it needs someone from Feasta with an agricultural background to drive it along. We need to explore how this project would fit in with the Soils and Sinks policy research proposal we have just submitted to the Department of the Environment. .
Task 4: The GAT
A formal working group needs to be set up. Its first step would be to draft a trust deed and to write a proposal that would accompany it. A website, independent of Feasta, should also be set up. The proposal could be used to gather support and to recruit “Trust Champions” - people of influence who would promote the concept around the world. The GAT group should also be at Poznan.
There's so much going on that it's difficult for members of the group to keep up. If you would like to get more details about anything, please ring me on ++ 353 (0) 98 25313 And do let me know if there's any particular area in which you'd like to help.
Richard.