Archive for Risk-Resilience Network Documents

Anger & Complicity in a Time of Limits

Mar 24, 2014 No Comments by
In the second part of his interview with Alexander Ac, David Korowicz argues that the large-scale predicament and the emergent socio-economic stresses that we are beginning to experience has very little to with fraud, corruption and the greed of a tiny few. It has a lot to do with our human civilization running into limits.
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Catastrophic Shocks in Complex Socio-Economic Systems—a pandemic perspective

Jul 19, 2013 1 Comment by
This paper by David Korowicz provides an overview of the effect of a major pandemic on the operation of complex socio-economic systems using some simple models. It discusses the links between initial pandemic absenteeism and supply-chain contagion, and the evolution and rate of shock propagation. It discusses systemic collapse and the difficulties of re-booting socio-economic systems.
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Ignorance by Consensus

Nov 13, 2012 10 Comments by
A consensus becomes established out of the persistence of what it attempts to describe. It is inherently retrospective. It tends to assume that what has been, must continue. A couple of decades of low interest rates and stable global economic growth, and well, it becomes the natural order of things.
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Trade Off: Financial system supply-chain cross contagion – a study in global systemic collapse

Jun 17, 2012 12 Comments by
This new study by David Korowicz explores the implications of a major financial crisis for the supply-chains that feed us, keep production running and maintain our critical infrastructure. He uses a scenario involving the collapse of the Eurozone to show that increasing socio-economic complexity could rapidly spread irretrievable supply-chain failure across the world.
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The Centre Cannot Hold!

Apr 23, 2012 No Comments by

On April 8, Feasta’s David Korowicz was the featured guest on From Alpha to Omega, a weekly podcast by Tom O’Brien. He spoke about the likelihood of economic collapse and what to expect in the coming years. You can listen to it here.…

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Tipping Point: Near-Term Systemic Implications of a Peak in Global Oil Production – An Outline Review

Mar 15, 2010 3 Comments by

The report Tipping Point: Near-Term Systemic Implications of a Peak in Global Oil Production, by David Korowicz of Feasta and the Risk/Resilience Network, is now available for download. The report argues that the defining dynamic of our civilisation is the withdrawal of energy from a complex and integrated system adapted only to growing. A managed “de-growth” is impossible; what is required is rapid emergency planning coupled with a plan for longer-term adaptation. …

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